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Third, I predicted yesterday that today is a downward trend. Don't expect a turnaround in the afternoon. It has no technical significance. I maintain this judgment mainly because:The most important point is that a market supported by favorable conditions can't go far by itself, not to mention where there are so many favorable conditions. Under the chaotic situation in the world, our A-shares are braised with pork every day, which is not in line with the normal market situation. Even if there is no chaos outside, A-shares themselves are not as strong as we thought, because by the end of the year, major shareholders will reduce their holdings, and the performance of listed companies is also a minefield.In the morning, the A-share market entered the range of 3380-3400 points, which is also a support range. In the afternoon, it depends on the support of large index stocks. On the whole, even if it does not fall below today, it will be penetrated tomorrow. Everyone should pay attention to short-term risks.

There are also some disturbing phenomena in this morning's A-share market, which deserve our attention. For example, today is a heavy diving, and the main funds have once again made a substantial net outflow.The rebound of A-shares has lasted for nearly 10 trading days, and the short-term technical indicators have been in a state of high passivation, which requires a technical adjustment. Under normal circumstances, there is no need to panic and wait patiently for the adjustment to end under the condition that the current trend has not been destroyed.This shows that the speculation of small and medium-sized stocks in A-shares is gradually cooling down. This cooling process, accompanied by the rise of its index, masks the truth that the main funds have fled sharply. Today, it is particularly important to pay attention to the small hand of the main force: the big fund holding sector, which fell more than 2% today, which is the vane of the artificial intelligence sector.

Second, from a technical point of view, this wave of rise in the A-share market is basically in place, and it is normal to make adjustments.On the eve of the new year, the only thing we retail investors can do is to keep the fruits of victory, it is not easy to make money and welcome the new year happily.The decline in Shenzhen stock market is larger, because there are not so many stocks in traditional industries, and the biggest declines are in the sectors of communication equipment, real estate and large fund holdings, all of which have dropped by more than 2%.